How to predict weather by the clouds

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Key highlights: In this post, I explain how hikers can predict weather conditions by understanding cloud formations. I highlight the importance of recognising ten main cloud types which are categorised into three levels based on their height - high-level, mid-level and low-level clouds. I detail how specific cloud types, such as Cirrus, Cirrostratus, Cirrocumulus, Altostratus, Altocumulus and Nimbostratus, can indicate incoming weather conditions like fair weather, approaching rain or snowstorm, potential cyclone, incoming storm system or continuous precipitation, assisting hikers to prepare and stay safe during their outdoor adventures.

Clouds and Weather: What Every Hiker Should Know

Clouds are among the most captivating weather phenomena, showcasing an endless array of forms and textures. From the delicate wisps of cirrus clouds high above to the imposing, storm-filled cumulonimbus clouds, their diversity mirrors the complexities of weather itself.Beyond their aesthetic appeal, clouds are powerful indicators of weather conditions. For hikers, the ability to recognise and interpret cloud formations is more than just an interesting skill—it’s a practical tool for anticipating changes in the weather. This knowledge can help you prepare better, adapt plans, and stay safe on the trail.

Understanding the Ten Main Cloud Types

Clouds are classified into ten main types and further divided into 27 sub-types based on factors such as height, shape, colour, and the weather they indicate. These types are grouped into three levels:

  • High-level clouds (above 6 km)

  • Mid-level clouds (2.5 to 6 km)

  • Low-level clouds (surface to 2.5 km)

Their Latin names reflect their defining characteristics: cirrus (hair), cumulus (heap), stratus (layer), and nimbus (rain-bearing).While all clouds are naturally white, their appearance from the ground can vary due to depth, shadowing from higher clouds, or the angle of sunlight.

High-Level Clouds (Above 6 km)

Cirrus clouds

Cirrus clouds are the most common high-altitude clouds, forming above 6 km where the air is cold, and ice crystals dominate. Their thin, wispy strands are often shaped by strong winds, creating long streamers across the sky. These clouds are usually brilliant white and signify fair weather, but their presence often indicates a change within 24 hours, such as an approaching front or storm system. Watching the movement of cirrus clouds can also reveal the direction of incoming weather, making them a useful visual cue for hikers planning their routes or preparing for changes in conditions.

Cirrostratus clouds

Cirrostratus clouds appear as delicate, translucent sheets that spread across the sky, sometimes giving it a milky appearance. They are so thin that the sun or moon can shine through, often producing a halo effect due to the refraction of light by the ice crystals within the cloud. These clouds are a reliable sign of an approaching rain or snowstorm, typically appearing 12–24 hours in advance. Their subtle presence might not seem threatening at first, but hikers should take note, as they often signal the beginning of a significant weather change.

Cirrocumulus clouds

Cirrocumulus clouds are less common but striking in appearance, resembling small, rounded white puffs scattered across the sky in a pattern that can resemble fish scales—hence the nickname “mackerel sky.” Composed of ice crystals, they are usually seen in colder weather conditions or tropical regions. While they often indicate fair weather, their appearance in tropical areas can warn of an approaching cyclone or hurricane. For hikers, these clouds might suggest keeping an eye on other atmospheric changes that could indicate more severe conditions ahead.

Mid-Level Clouds (2.5 to 6 km)

Altostratus clouds
Altostratus clouds typically precede prolonged rain or snow

Altostratus clouds form a dense, grey or blue-grey layer that stretches across the sky, sometimes blocking out the sun or making it appear as a dim, blurry disc. These clouds are composed of both water droplets and ice crystals, depending on their altitude. They usually precede long-lasting rain or snow and often act as a warning of an incoming storm system. While they don’t produce heavy precipitation themselves, they often mark the transition to more active weather. Hikers encountering altostratus clouds should prepare for deteriorating conditions and ensure their rain gear is easily accessible.

Altocumulus clouds
Be particularly vigilant when spotting Altocumulus clouds during summer.

Altocumulus clouds are patchy grey or white masses that appear at mid-level altitudes, often forming in groups or rows. They are typically made up of water droplets and are a common sight in the morning on warm, humid days. Their presence is particularly significant in summer, as they often signal the likelihood of thunderstorms forming later in the day. For hikers, spotting altocumulus clouds in the morning can serve as an early warning to complete outdoor activities before the weather worsens.

Nimbostratus clouds
Nimbostratus clouds bring extended periods of rain or snow

Nimbostratus clouds are thick, dark grey clouds that stretch across the sky like a blanket. These clouds are typically associated with continuous, steady precipitation, ranging from light drizzle to moderate rain or snow. Unlike cumulonimbus clouds, which produce intense but short-lived downpours, nimbostratus clouds create sustained wet conditions. Their presence often means an extended period of gloomy weather, and for hikers, they can turn a pleasant walk into a soggy experience. Be prepared with waterproof gear if nimbostratus clouds dominate the sky.

Low-Level Clouds (Surface to 2.5 km)

Cumulus clouds
Cumulus clouds may develop into thunderstorms later in the day.

Cumulus clouds are classic, fluffy white clouds that resemble cotton balls scattered across a blue sky. They often form on sunny days when warm air rises, cools, and condenses. These clouds are usually harmless, earning them the nickname “fair-weather clouds.” However, as they grow vertically, they can evolve into towering cumulus or cumulus congestus clouds, which may later develop into cumulonimbus clouds, bringing thunderstorms. For hikers, the sight of towering cumulus clouds is a signal to monitor the sky closely, as they can rapidly grow into storm-bearing clouds.

Stratus clouds
Stratus clouds can limit visibility, which may impact navigation on trails.

Stratus clouds are low, grey clouds that blanket the sky in a uniform layer, resembling fog that doesn’t reach the ground. They often bring light mist or drizzle and can linger for long periods, creating a dreary, overcast day. These clouds typically form in stable weather conditions, so while they’re not a sign of severe weather, they can limit visibility and dampen the mood of a hike. For hikers, stratus clouds might mean adjusting plans if visibility on the trail is a concern.

Cumulonimbus clouds
Cumulonimbus clouds are a clear sign to seek shelter immediately

Cumulonimbus clouds are the giants of the sky, towering as high as 12 km and often spanning all three cloud levels. Their dramatic appearance, with towering white tops and dark grey bases, signals severe weather. These clouds produce heavy rain, hail, lightning, and even tornadoes. High winds often flatten the top into an anvil shape, pointing in the direction the storm is moving. For hikers, cumulonimbus clouds are a clear warning to seek shelter immediately, as they can bring dangerous and fast-changing weather conditions.

Stratocumulus clouds
Stratocumulus Clouds can signal an approaching change in weather

Stratocumulus clouds are low, puffy grey clouds that often form in rows with gaps of blue sky visible between them. While they rarely produce rain, their presence can signal a change in weather, especially if they begin to thicken and merge into nimbostratus clouds. Stratocumulus clouds are common during cooler seasons and often create dramatic, textured skies. Hikers might encounter these clouds on transitional weather days, and their presence can provide an opportunity for beautiful photos while remaining mindful of changing conditions.

Other Clouds to Watch For

There are other cloud formations such as Mammatus, Lenticular, Fog, Contrails, Fractus and Green Clouds. Certain less common cloud types are worth noting, particularly for hikers, as they can signal severe weather:

Mammatus clouds
Mammatus clouds is a sign to take shelter

Mammatus clouds are distinctive and somewhat ominous, with their bulging, pouch-like formations hanging beneath cumulonimbus clouds. These clouds are a visual warning of severe weather, often forming during or after thunderstorms. They’re most striking in appearance during sunset, as the light enhances their dramatic texture. For hikers, the sight of mammatus clouds is a sign to take shelter and prepare for potentially hazardous conditions.

Green clouds
Green clouds should prompt immediate action to find shelter

Green clouds are rare but alarming, often signalling severe storms capable of producing large hail or tornadoes. The greenish tint is thought to result from sunlight interacting with water droplets and hail within the cloud. While more common in the United States’ Great Plains, they can occur elsewhere under the right conditions. For hikers, green clouds should prompt immediate action to find shelter, as they often precede the most dangerous weather events.

Why Cloud Knowledge Matters for Hikers

Understanding cloud types can be as vital as packing the right gear. Spotting cirrostratus clouds might prompt you to double-check your rain jacket, while mammatus clouds could mean reconsidering a hike altogether. Whether you’re planning a short walk or a multi-day trek, learning to read the sky will give you an edge in staying safe and prepared.

About the Author

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Darren Edwards is the founder of Trail Hiking Australia, an avid bushwalker, and a dedicated search and rescue volunteer. With decades of experience exploring Australia's wilderness, Darren shares his passion for the outdoors, providing practical advice and guidance on hiking safely and responsibly. He was interviewed on ABC Radio and ABC News Breakfast to discuss bushwalking safety, highlighting his commitment to promoting responsible outdoor exploration.

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